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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

Model Talk: The 2020 Forecast Is Live!

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 230 views
  • 9 months ago
  • 30:43

FiveThirtyEight's 2020 presidential election forecast is live! In this edition of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke break down what is new in this year's forecast and where the uncertainty lies.

RNC Night 4: How Trump Used His 5,680 Words

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 220 views
  • 9 months ago
  • 30:02

The crew reacts to the fourth and final night of the 2020 Republican National Convention.

Model Talk: There Still Isn't Evidence Of 'Shy' Trump Voters

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 200 views
  • 7 months ago
  • 42:23

This is the final(!) pre-election installment of "Model Talk." Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss how the latest polling has shifted in some of the key battleground states. They also address whether there is any reason to believe that "shy Trump voters" could provide the president with an upset win on Election Day. (The evidence suggests there isn't.)

Michelle Obama Rips Trump In DNC Night One

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 190 views
  • 9 months ago
  • 41:33

The crew reacts to the first night of the 2020 Democratic National Convention.

What The Deluge Of Final Polls Can Tell Us

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 180 views
  • 7 months ago
  • 29:53

Many pollsters released their final polls of the 2020 election over the weekend. In this installment of the podcast, the crew analyzes what the recent data tells us about the state of the race in its final days.

Model Talk: Trump's Position Worsens

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 180 views
  • 7 months ago
  • 37:16

In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the latests movements in the 2020 election forecasts.