Transcribe your podcast
[00:00:00]

This episode of Founders' Field Guide is brought to you by Microsoft for Startups, Microsoft for Startups is a global program dedicated to helping Enterprise ready B2B startups successfully scale their companies. The program has been around for a couple of years, but I recently became intrigued when former investor like the best guest, Jeff Maas, took over Microsoft for startups, provides companies access to technology, including Azure, Cloud and GitHub, coupled with a streamlined path to selling alongside Microsoft and their global partner ecosystem.

[00:00:29]

Microsoft for Startups has a very compelling approach to working with startups and driving their long term business value. If you're a founder running a B2B company targeting the enterprise, you should definitely check them out at Startup Stop Microsoft Dotcom.

[00:00:41]

To hear more about the program, stay tuned. At the end of the episode to hear from me, Jeff Marr and Greylock partner Sam Mohammedi.

[00:00:49]

This episode is also brought to you by solo stove. There's simply no better way to create good moments this holiday season around a fire than with a solo stove bonfire. The soulless of bonfires minimalist design is reinventing the backyard experience so you can get outside and have a roaring smokeless fire in minutes, complete with a 30 day return policy and lifetime warranty. The units made entirely of stainless steel and it just 20 pounds. The solar stove bonfire is easy to transport for a perfect evening in the backyard, at the campground or on the beach.

[00:01:18]

Check out solo stove dotcom for their range of fire pits and grills and use promo code. Patrick five for five dollars off your order.

[00:01:25]

That's almost ofay dotcom and use code. Patrick five.

[00:01:30]

Oh, hello and welcome everyone. I'm Patrick O'Shaughnessy and this is Founders' Felgate. Founders Field Guide is a series of conversations with founders, CEOs and operators building great businesses. I believe we are all builders in our own way and this series is dedicated to stories and lessons from builders of all types. You can find more episodes at Investment Field Guide dot com.

[00:01:54]

Patrick O'Shaughnessy is the CEO of O'Shannassy Asset Management. All opinions expressed by Patrick and podcast guests are solely their own opinions and do not reflect the opinion of O'Shannassy asset management. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions. Clients of O'Shannassy Asset Management may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this podcast.

[00:02:19]

My guest today is Nick Cocoanuts, the co-founder of three of the best restaurants and bars in America and the world. Alinea Next and the Aviary, as well as the co-founder and CEO of Talk, a comprehensive booking system for restaurants. This was one of my favorite conversations in the history of the show.

[00:02:35]

Nick is a philosophy major turned derivatives trader and now one of the most well-known and respected names in the restaurant and hospitality industries. We cover so many topics I can't list them here, but I'll remember it for why it's so important for a business to really know what it's selling and then actually sell it. Nick also pulls back the curtain on why restaurants and even book publishers can be great businesses if you do them the right way. I felt like this conversation could have gone on for hours and I hope you enjoy it.

[00:03:02]

Nick, I thought a neat place to begin. Our conversation today is with a quote of yours that I found that has three parts. I'm going to read the quote and then I'd love to walk through each of the three parts. What you said was own something, make lots of decisions that have outcomes. Try to be right. Fifty one percent of the time, do that often and repeat, I love this quote and maybe we'll start with own something.

[00:03:23]

What do you mean by that? In as much detail as you can provide and welcome.

[00:03:27]

Thank you. My thing is I grew up with a dad who he would say he was an entrepreneur by necessity, no one would hire him. I looked around at some of the immigrants and his cousins and people in our family who were immigrants. And the way to create wealth in America was different for different populations and for the Greeks. Half of my family, that's Greek, it was own something. It wasn't go to college and become a lawyer or a doctor or something like that.

[00:03:56]

It was, hey, if you own it and you grow, you make more money. I grew up in that environment. And then also just by studying wealth creation, it's actually really rare that you can be sure you can become a C level C suite, publicly traded company executive or something like that that's going to take you thirty years and a lot of education and all that. So for me it was always like, I want to own things for two reasons.

[00:04:23]

One, because that's a more likely path to wealth creation. And two, I want to own it because I want to have responsibility for it. Ultimately, I don't want my fate decided by someone else.

[00:04:35]

What about the second part of this, which is make lots of decisions that have outcomes? Sounds kind of obvious, but my guess is there's lots of nuance in the dangers of making decisions around things that don't have outcomes.

[00:04:45]

I guess this one's harder to explain, right? When you said that at the outset, I was like, oh, that's going to be the tough part to explain, because in one sense, everything has an outcome, but not everything has a measurable outcome. If you're working on a software product and you change the color of something, you can they test it all you want. That sort of thing has outcomes.

[00:05:04]

But more than that, just trying different products, entirely different lines of revenue for your business, different aspects of what you're doing, whether it be whether you're a writer or you're a painter or whatever it may be, you need to get it to some sort of completion where there is an outcome that can be measured. That's all that means. I see a lot of people starting businesses and spending time drawing logos in a notebook, so to speak. And that's not a measurable thing that you haven't produced anything.

[00:05:32]

You haven't tested it. There's no end to the next part of the question, which is like you're the casino. You have thousands and thousands of outcomes. And you're right, more than half you're going to win, even though forty nine percent of the time you lose.

[00:05:46]

Do you think that that fifty one percent is better than, say, eighty percent by it being fifty one percent?

[00:05:51]

You're moving and making enough decisions with high enough velocity. There's more room for learning with a lower percentage being right.

[00:05:58]

No, no, no, no, no, no. That wasn't intended that way. It was more like you could be wrong an awful lot and still come out ahead. And I think that in managing decisions and managing people and feeling good about your work and yourself, it's easy to get down very quickly in any business because you're going to have a whole bunch of things that don't work. I mean, we're all human. No one likes to have their stuff or not do well.

[00:06:23]

No one likes to fail the test. Learning to be wrong and accept that is a process or indeed an inevitable outcome. If you're doing things correctly, it means that you can be correct and wrong at the same time. If that makes sense, yeah, I'd much rather be right eighty percent of the time. And hopefully we drive towards that. But I grew up, I was a derivatives trader. Really becoming the house of the casino is the goal.

[00:06:49]

You don't need a lot of edge in running a blackjack game. You just need. A little bit and then you need a lot of players and that's all that this is that's that whole statement in a nutshell, we're going to apply that thinking to the restaurant business a lot in our conversation today.

[00:07:04]

But to set the stage, I'd love to hear the way through which you came to be familiar with the restaurant business in the first place. What was the first event or exposure that got you interested in this part of the world?

[00:07:16]

No one's really asked that ever. So the very first exposure was the Greeks. If you're a Greek in Chicago, my joke is always like if you're Greek in Chicago, you don't own a restaurant both on your 40. They give you a hotdog joint on the west side for free. Doesn't they just feel bad for you? So I grew up and my dad in the 60s before I was born, I owned a diner that was the upward mobility for sort of the uneducated Greeks.

[00:07:40]

And so I knew somebody who owned a restaurant my whole life. Mind you, I did well academically throughout my life. And so my dad was always going, look, go become a lawyer, go become an engineer or something like that. You don't want to own a restaurant. It's a terrible business. So my first exposure was all of these people telling me not to do it. But meanwhile, they were at their kid's basketball games. They were the dads who were present for their families, and they were the people who controlled their own situation, as we spoke about, even though as all of them were telling me, hey, you're the white sheep of the family, go get a graduate degree.

[00:08:18]

I was looking at it and going like, well, jeez, they seem like they're doing pretty darn well. And I don't really want to work at Goldman anyway. That was my first exposure to the restaurant business. And then when I graduated from college, we actually knew a very famous restaurant that was going out of business. I had spoken to my dad about, hey, we should try to buy that. And he was really just wildly against me, allowed me to have the conversation, but he was wildly against it.

[00:08:45]

Sadly, he died in 2001, so he never saw any of my involvement in the restaurant business. And perhaps that's better. I think he probably would have tried to talk me out of it.

[00:08:54]

Can you describe why in your opinion, there still is this view that restaurants are just bad businesses that too often their vanity businesses or it's like trying to make a movie or something like the economics just don't work?

[00:09:06]

Well, it's always interesting to me is that most businesses are not great businesses. If there is a great business out there with high margins, there's something else about it that's hard to get into. So it's very interesting to me that everyone says, oh, yeah, restaurant business is terrible. I mean, I remember when we started building Alinea just getting slightly ahead. But this will make sense to your question. When we start building Alinea, there's a suburban restaurant in Chicago, and I really like that.

[00:09:34]

And the guy was good looking chef, and he seemed like he had his stuff together. And I kind of knew him a little bit. And I said, oh, by the way, like, I'm embarking on building a restaurant. And he said, well, you don't want to do that. It's a terrible business and it's all sorts of awful stuff and all that. I said, why did you build four more? If you build one and it's such a terrible business, why did you go for more?

[00:09:55]

Why is it that there are some celebrity chefs that have thirty five? It's not because they like to get punched in the face. Clearly you can make money.

[00:10:02]

It also coming from a floor trader derivatives trader background. But I got down there like all anyone told you about how terrible it is. Oh my God. You're going to get beat up. It's a terrible environment. People are mean. Ninety nine out of a hundred people don't make it the first year. And then even that one out of a hundred, that makes it only ninety nine of one hundred, then fail after it's only one out of a thousand, never becomes a million or whatever.

[00:10:26]

And I was like, so you're saying there's a chance I like businesses that are hard because if I can figure them out, whether that be a great arbitrage in derivatives or that's the restaurant business or publishing which I think is an awesome business, I just go like, well, people are full of shit. They're defending their position. And the fact of the matter is, is that there are a lot of people in the restaurant business that are not in business, so to speak.

[00:10:54]

They did it out of passion or they did it, as you said, it's a vanity project, or they thought that they were great entertainers at home and they knew how to throw a dinner party. So they decided to open a restaurant. I was accused of all of those things when I started building Alinea with Grant. So much so I would just drill into him. This will be run as a business first. It's not an art project. It's a business.

[00:11:16]

If we run it well as a business, then we can invest more in the art and it becomes a virtuous cycle. I think that the barrier to entry to the restaurant business is actually relatively low compared to many other businesses, especially in terms of actual knowledge requirements. You can't just start a software company as a sole proprietor if you don't know how to program. So the barrier to entry there is a fairly high barrier to entry to a restaurant is you sign a lease and build the kitchen and start cooking.

[00:11:45]

It's a lot, but it's doable. And consequently there's going be a high failure rate.

[00:11:50]

I should know for the audience that I think it's the one time I did go to. Alinea, years ago, it was literally ranked the single best restaurant in the world, so I think it's very interesting that you say you and Grant agreed that you would run as a business first at its inception. In what ways did that cause your behavior or your plan to depart from the typical new high end restaurant opening?

[00:12:11]

Well, first of all, we set it up in a way that the investors I was also the largest investor and I was on the management side, but I set up the structure of the business more like if you were setting up a startup, there is an investor group, LLC, there's the restaurant itself and there's a management company, three different companies to start one company. And I made sure that all of the interests of all three were alive for the long term, which means that 15 years later, the investors in Alinea still get a really nice check.

[00:12:38]

Every year. A lot of restaurants lure people into the investment group by saying, well, you'll always have a preferred table or you'll always have this or that. And we did the opposite. We said everyone, the investors will pay, including myself. If I die in there, all the investors get 20 percent off. If you send someone there and you send a friend, you pay. And that way, someone who comes here 80 times a year contributes the same as someone who comes here twice a year.

[00:13:02]

How will we run it in terms of volume? If you're shooting for perfection in a Michelin three star restaurant, you do 40 or 50 to 60 people in it, and that's it. That's a lot easier than doing a hundred twenty people and a lot easier at that level.

[00:13:16]

So we were always looking for ways to expand revenue, to grow, to come up with innovative ways of actually making it a business. And by making it a business, we could then reinvest in the experience of our customers. And if anything, it gives you a giant head start. And so when I'm talking to chefs or restaurant owners, I show a picture of five artists, Picasso and DaVinci and all these people. And I'm like four of the five of these guys.

[00:13:44]

Ditrich there are. And one of them cut off his ear. If you want to die for your cut off your ear. Go right ahead. I'm fine with that. I just don't want to be invested in that as a business. Picasso was prolific, but he was also really clever and he was a genius. So they're not mutually exclusive. And I think that's the attitude we took right at the beginning. There's an old Picasso documentary from the 20s, and I didn't really know Grant very well.

[00:14:08]

And we started this whole thing and I dragged him over to my house and I was like, you will watch this. And it was just Picasso painting. It wasn't doing anything else. And he was like, Why am I watching this? I was like, he made that in the 20s to promote himself. Think about that. The best artist living artist at that time agreed to do this thing to show the process why. And we ran it almost like a political campaign.

[00:14:31]

We had words that we would avoid every interview.

[00:14:36]

What words would you avoid and what words would you use? That sounds very interesting.

[00:14:40]

Two words that we would avoid or avant garde and science. So grant conservators cooking avant garde, even thought about calling the restaurant AGEA. I was like, well, you automatically eliminate 90 percent of the people. No one wants to eat science. It's one thing to talk about the science of whatever it was calling molecular gastronomy. But even that was a misunderstood term because it was actually coined by her 80s and it was about the component aspect, almost like pointillism.

[00:15:07]

It wasn't about manipulating individual molecules. So we would have Prescott us. Oh, are you practice molecular gastronomy? You're really into science then, because you're moving molecules of food around. The guy is a chef. He's not a physicist. So those two words we avoided because I think that the alienated potential customers and then the two words that we used in every interview and still do fun and delicious because it's so simple but so hard to find, because when you go to a great restaurant, whether that be your corner bar or the boss Michelin experience you've ever had while you're traveling, I guarantee you it's fun.

[00:15:48]

It's not snooty. Is that someone looking down their nose at you? You feel like you're part of this pageant that's going on and fine dining and you should be part of it. You should be one of the actors, not an audience member. And then delicious is obvious, has to be delicious. Otherwise, it's just a farce. Every interview you ever receive. I still to this day when someone asks about the science or the process or whatnot, I'm doing it right now.

[00:16:13]

Everything we do has to be fun and it has to be delicious or we will not do it.

[00:16:18]

I'll just give a quick testimonial. When I was there, the way that dessert was served was that Grant came to our table, laid down this kind of funny latex tablecloth and basically created for like a half an hour Jackson Pollock dessert, all sorts of different ingredients, like literally painted the desert on our table, which was incredibly fun. And of course, me being me, I'm like asking him about where does this latex come from? Is it going to impact the taste?

[00:16:45]

He said, I was like the first person to asked him question and he was talking about its origin and like the S.A.M. industry in Europe or something like. Some crazy place. Yeah, yeah, yeah, that's actually true. So this is a good way to show how in any business you ask the right questions. So on the questions that we wanted to answer was that we asked the question, but when in your life do you feel like something's new, the older you get, the fewer new experiences that you have.

[00:17:13]

And so when you have one, you kind of crave that. You're like, wow, that was really cool. At the same time, you become more close to them as you get older. It's natural. I think we were like, how do you become more childlike? What is a way to make an adult feel like a kid? Again, a number of the dishes at Alinea came out of that question. One was the balloon dessert. It's like an edible balloon.

[00:17:34]

When you're a kid, you get a helium balloon and literally you could play with that thing for hours. It's like magical. It floats. That's really cool. We sorted out how to make an edible helium balloon. It's so simple. It's just like a taffy. It's nothing crazy delicious, but it's wildly fun because you feel like a kid again. How in the world is a Michelin star restaurant? They give you a floating balloon and then make a mess of yourself while you eat it.

[00:17:58]

We were asking that question and I remember going to a museum where everything was really big. So they had like a table so that if you were a five foot 10 adult and you sat down on a table, you would physically feel like you were when you were three. The plates are big, the chairs are big. The counter was really high. I don't even remember where it was, but it really stuck in my mind. And I said, well, we should make everything giant to make you feel literally small again.

[00:18:24]

And so I came up this idea of a table plate, literally a plate the size of a table. And we made a couple up. It was very Willy Wonka and Alice in Wonderland and all that had giant forks and knives and stuff. It was really stupid. But as soon as you actually did that, it was kind of like, well, you're going to hit someone in the head with this eighty pound plate and where are you going to start?

[00:18:47]

Wash it. There's practical considerations in the midst of all that. I would talk to Grant at the pass in the kitchen and he would be plating things. I would be watching him do the sourcing and plating and all that. And occasionally I'd pick up a spoon and I'd do a plate. He'd fix it. I see what he's doing and yet I can't replicate it. Even though it looks simple. There is a brush stroke there, born of thousands and thousands and thousands of repetition.

[00:19:15]

I know what it should look like. It's just like painting. And I went back to that Picasso documentary and I was kind of like, we should send the chefs into the dining room. Everyone wants to see the chefs anyway, and we should just have them plate on this giant plate. So it's kind of killing two birds with one stone there.

[00:19:31]

Idea went away for like four or five months after the big plates because it didn't work and just thought it was dead. And then Martin Kassner crucial detail was like, well, why does it need to be a rigid plate? You could use a different substance. And we were looking for great latex. He found it at a sex shop in Paris, rolls of gray latex under the Internet, like he wasn't trolling about the sex shops. And we figured out we called them like we manufacture this for you and they're like, what are you into?

[00:19:57]

And we're like for a food table. Food, art. Yeah, yeah. That's the story of how that came to be. But I think that encapsulates a lot of our thinking. That was a six or seven month project and then we figured out how to do it. Once we do one table tonight and we go, there's no way we can do this for every table. And then four weeks later, we were doing it thirty times a night.

[00:20:17]

It's a magical thing like Netflix. Chef's Table had that on billboards in Los Angeles promoting the show. So for me, it's a really weird thing because it came out of this process of three or four or five people talking about how do I make you feel like a kid again? And clearly it's stuck out in your mind as a new, weird, fun experience, which is really what we're shooting for, just for evidence on the pile.

[00:20:42]

I still tell people about that all the time. And it's interesting to me how often businesses seem to want to go down the fairway and sort of not be risky and how incredibly boring, but also how bad a business decision that is, because if it was just a lava cake or something like, I wouldn't talk about it, there is an important distinction here.

[00:21:00]

And that is this. People have copied that. Now anything good gets copied. And if you Google up restaurants in South America and Asia that are copying it, they don't copy it. Well, they'll literally just take a bunch of food and dump it on a table. No, no, no, no, no. If you're going to try to do this very risky, kind of potentially polarizing thing, you have to make it elegant and beautiful to execution.

[00:21:28]

The ideas are great, I tell people all the time. But you can have all the great ideas in the world if you do not execute them at a high level, it's going to fall flat. When we first opened, I wanted to show movement food and he had this little bacon on a wire thing and stuff. And now there's a bunch of steakhouses that put thick steak house bacon on a clothespin. Our thing may have been dumb and we only did it for four months, but they didn't really get the point of it.

[00:21:52]

Look. Or at least now they've got clothespins holding bacon on a wire. You have to figure out the core of why it's special and that's a tricky thing to do a lot of times going back to the kind of way the business itself is run and the service delivered.

[00:22:07]

You guys have been extremely innovative in things like ticketing, selling meals ahead of time, not at the restaurant, things like dynamic pricing. Can you talk through how you arrived at those two concepts at first and the impact that they had on the business once they were in place?

[00:22:24]

I had never spent a day working in a restaurant. And then even after we opened Alinea, my role was to coordinate. I was like a producer of a film. I found everybody got them involved versus the architect. The interior designer did all the permitting, the liquor license, the legal, all that sort of stuff. But I didn't actually work in a restaurant ever until the day we opened, and I certainly didn't intend on working at the restaurant, expected that I would do the financials and the books and things like that.

[00:22:52]

But I would also hand that off to the general manager, say or things like that. About 18 months after we opened, Grant was diagnosed with stage four cancer and at the time was given six months to live. He's 11 years cancer free. That's a story in and of itself. But at that moment, I went in to the restaurant, started going in every night for service, not doing just the business side, but really looking at the other aspects of it.

[00:23:16]

I just would look around and be like, why in the world do we have an empty table right now when we have 60 people on the waitlist while they just didn't show up? And of course, I knew that when I went to other restaurants, I'd have an eight o'clock reservation, be told to wait at the bar for forty five minutes. Then I started asking, like really, really basic questions. Why is it that I go to a restaurant, I have an eight o'clock reservation and then I'm told to wait for forty five minutes.

[00:23:40]

Is it because they're disorganized or so many people came and it's like no, actually they lied to me and told me that an eight o'clock table when they knew that they didn't have one till nine o'clock. And why would they do that? Well, because if they told me nine o'clock, I would go to the restaurant down the street that lied to me and told me to 8:00. And then conversely, a lot of people out of the restaurant, they would call Alinea back then and they would say, like, hey, we want to table for six and March twenty third.

[00:24:04]

So I'm really sorry. All we have is a table for four. They'd say, OK, I'll take it. And they show up with six people or worse, they want a table for two. They say, oh I'm sorry, we only have a table for six. OK, we'll take it, we'll just bring four friends. They show up as to all of a sudden you have two people sitting in six top and you've just forgotten the thousand dollars of revenue.

[00:24:22]

Now you multiply that out over the course of the year and we were losing over a million dollars of revenue through those two things happening. One of the basic things that people don't do in the restaurant industry, and it drives me nuts, even with our own staff, is no one multiplies it out by seven days a week, 52 weeks a year. So if you have something that's costing you even twenty dollars a day, add it up. It's a low margin business because you're not looking at these chunks of revenue.

[00:24:52]

I was just going, why in the world if we have a wait list of 200 hundred people, can we not just limited to the people who actually are willing to come in and take a little bit of a deposit first? And what's fascinating about that is that when I said that to people, I was like, look, baseball games, concerts, theater, every other form of entertainment does some sort of ticketing. And I was told that it was a terrible idea because restaurants are not entertainment.

[00:25:23]

And I was like, what are they?

[00:25:24]

What's really fascinating about restaurants and food in general is that because we are biological creatures that need to eat, people have all sorts of emotional and cultural and ethical baggage on top of what a restaurant is. And you're seeing that now during the pandemic. And at the heart, you don't need to eat out. Eating out is a social endeavor. It's entertainment. It might be art, and it definitely is sustenance as well. At the core of it, we could charge ahead.

[00:25:54]

I was told by everybody I talked to that it was a terrible idea. Literally everybody except for my wife Grant thought it was a terrible idea or general manager at the time. That was a terrible idea. Notice I say at the time it was very, very, very frustrating because I kept having this notion in my head. I'd wake up every day going, we really should just take a fifty dollar deposit and then the problem is solved. I knew nothing about behavioral economics at the time.

[00:26:19]

I didn't know that these are things that were tested. I just knew that as a derivatives trader, if everything went to zero at the end of a day, that's like an expiring option. And that option value changes the closer you get the expiration. And yet we kept our values constant in other parts of the world. That wasn't the case. I sat down one day in 2014 and wrote this long essay, but before then I skipped ahead. But we were building next.

[00:26:46]

I just decided this is like a theater like restaurant. It changes three times a year. It's an entirely new menu. To sell tickets to this and again, everyone in my own company thought I was an idiot, so I had to hire an outside programmer, had to not get a phone on purpose. We barely built it in time and it broke right away because it was a homebrew software. But then the first thing was five hundred sixty two thousand dollars of tickets to a restaurant for the first time ever.

[00:27:14]

And I remember that as one of the happiest days in my life because I turned on this thing and people did it five or six or seven years of me kind of looking at this going like I'm pretty sure this will work. I'm pretty sure this will work. And everybody in the industry telling me know and all my employees rolling their eyes at me. I remember I called Grant up and we were opening night for next and I said, you've got to come to my house.

[00:27:42]

And he was like, Dude, we're opening a restaurant tonight. I can't. Things are falling apart here. And I was just just for ten minutes and he showed up literally in his chef whites and clogs. And I must have looked like hell because I had spent like ten straight days, like a bad movie, eating pizza, drinking wine and trying to get this thing set up. So I had to shave and shower and I looked like The Big Lebowski.

[00:28:04]

I took them up to my little third floor office and I showed him I'm like, click on that button, that table become available and then it will instantly sell. And he did it. And he's like, what happened? And I was like, we just got six hundred twenty five dollars in our bank account. And that person's going to dine for two months and any one that you open will instantaneously sell. And he was like, that's amazing.

[00:28:24]

And I was like, yeah, it's fucking amazing. And he left was like, OK, I have to go cut it. That was like one of those moments where you go, like, I have a time machine when I was a trader. There is exchange traded funds are just starting and the natural hedge for them was the futures at the Mercantile Exchange. I was the guy who said we need to connect these two exchanges via closed and cellular network so that people can talk to each other instead of using all these hand signals and phone calls.

[00:28:51]

The moment that I got that turned on after over a year of work, getting regulatory approvals for it and everything, I had a five second time machine on the market. Now people are down to like picoseconds now with high frequency trading. But at the time, literally five second time machine, I can see what was going on New York five seconds before it arrived in Chicago. This felt like the same thing. I can run my restaurant in a way that no one else in the world can't.

[00:29:14]

And it worked. I mean, we sold every single seat for a year. We made over 30 percent margins in the first year. We blew out all of our goals while providing people with an incredible value. That opening menu was eighty five dollars for a twelve course. It was incredibly satisfying and then incredibly frustrating as well, because even after I did it, people would say, oh, well, that works for that one. In any business, you're kind of constantly having to prove that it works outside of your own niche.

[00:29:44]

Even if you look back at the articles and say, oh yeah, this is a really unique restaurant, this one's different than all the others. So it works for them, but it won't work for your casual pizza place. And I was kind of going like, no, no, no. That's why the variable word is in there to charge five dollars and still affect people's behavior. It took four years, but four years later, I just couldn't take it anymore.

[00:30:06]

And so I started to.

[00:30:08]

Do you think before we get into some of the Taco Origin stories and spend a bunch of time there, do you think that this concept of ticketing, prepayment and even dynamic pricing can and should be extended to all sorts of other business verticals? I'm thinking of like salons or CPAs or anything like that.

[00:30:24]

My original thought and if you look back at your blog post and you Google ticketing for restaurants, Alinea, it's still somewhere out there. I call the dynamic and variable pricing for times. A lot of businesses, any business that's timeslot, it should be dynamically, invariably priced right down to your lawyer, frankly, your dentist. Everyone wants a 10 a.m. Saturday appointment because of work hours. Why doesn't it cost more to go to a dentist or a salon or anything else, for that matter?

[00:30:50]

Personal trainers at 10 a.m. on a Tuesday do not have as many clients and six a.m. on a Tuesday. To me, all of those things should be and will be dynamically priced. The tools to do so are not yet widely available, but you'll get something like Amazon and Shopify for hardgoods. They're doing that already gets accepted for hardgoods. It's less accepted for services. Inevitably, it's going to happen. I was going to open a dry cleaner or something like that.

[00:31:17]

I would immediately have dynamic pricing.

[00:31:20]

Can you discuss the origin of talk itself? I think now we can talk about software business that potentially is rolling out the innovative thinking that you have and making it a service for a whole bunch of restaurants to begin all over the country. Why did talk begin and what kind of talk to each stage, including an incredible story through covid?

[00:31:40]

I came to the restaurant business as an outsider with this weird background as a philosophy major in college, studied logic and philosophy of language and applied it to derivatives and then ended up. The restaurant business, inevitably, you start going like, well, I need to know my customers, I need to start looking at some data here, all of the software available to restaurants at the time, and this is still true. Their business model intermediates the relationship between the business and the consumer.

[00:32:10]

OpenTable wants to own that relationship because that's how they monetize it. They get paid a dollar for every diner that bucks at a restaurant up until seven dollars if you enter their promotional plans as the restaurant. So they claim to the restaurant. We delivered the diners. Not you, not your great ideas, not the table plate. We were talking about all that. And I was like, they're not delivering any diners for us. We're doing that. We're making a great experience.

[00:32:34]

And yet I don't know which Patrick O'Shaughnessy is coming in tonight. So I don't know that your wife is left handed and likes tea. I don't know that you've been to my other five restaurants twenty two times because each restaurant is siloed as its own server. And the more I dug into the why of all that, how are these companies monetizing it? What are their pricing plans look like? Who owns the data, who owns the customer relationship. I started more and more going this is right for innovation and it's just frustrating as hell as a business owner.

[00:33:10]

I didn't build the processor top to commercialize it. I just built it for my own restaurants because I was dissatisfied with the existing system and it ended up being a much bigger problem than I thought in terms of solving it, programming at building up the system, because there's just so many components to it. And that's why no one had started it before. There are whole companies built around a waitlist for a restaurant and that's a feature, not an application.

[00:33:35]

But they turned it into an app and they just built a little better weightless thing and they sold the forty million bucks. So I would look at this and go, How is that thing? That's a weekend project and it's not even executed. Well, more power to him, mind you. But I just get incredibly frustrated that there are these little peeks and pokes at it.

[00:33:53]

So finally I woke up literally one day and read this article in The Wall Street Journal about reserve and Razie and open table. And just no one gets it. No one gets what the real problem is here. I would listen to some leaders in the industry. Wow. They don't get it either. Meanwhile, I knew what the finances of my own restaurants looked like. This doesn't seem as part of a problem, as they're saying when I would going to conferences and talk to them is incredibly dismissed.

[00:34:21]

I wrote this blog post literally on Saturday morning, woke up, read the article and said I should probably dump all my thoughts into a blog post. Five thousand words in like four hours and posted it up. It was read a couple million times in the first couple of months because economists loved it because they were like, oh, this is behavioral economics and action. Restaurant owners that were like, yes, this is what I've been thinking. Now, if two hundred restaurant owners email you, you fall into the trap like every startup going like what everybody thinks way.

[00:34:49]

Look, people love this idea, but of course, the two hundred restaurants that emailed you were the ones that are the minority. I didn't know that at the time. The crossing the chasm thing is kind of real. So the early adopters are all going to call you up and say that you're brilliant. We want the software and all that. Well, I fell for that and called Brian Fitzpatrick and said, look, I need to make this into a company.

[00:35:10]

And he was the head of Google in Chicago at the time. I was like, I need to hire to engineers and build this thing. I was seriously under imagining what it would take. That naivety is great to have when you're starting a company. I invested in other software companies I grew up programming as a kid. Not that I can program at all now, but I knew what was sort of required and he quit Google. I didn't expect him to, but he just said, I want to quit and start this with you.

[00:35:36]

And we hired a few really great engineers who had heard me, one of whom heard me give a talk at Google actually about dynamic and variable pricing, four times a lot of business. And it was a talk about derivatives and how derivatives can apply to things other than financial products. These folks are super geeky engineers and understood the math and statistics of these things and whatnot and were enamored of trying to apply that to an industry that's five percent of GDP.

[00:36:02]

So we started out with a group of five people literally in a closet. We had like a spare store room in the Alinea offices. That's how it started. It's been fascinating to actually sell this thing to the industry.

[00:36:16]

Can you talk about what it was like in the earliest days and how you decided which restaurants customers to focus on and which features to deliver to them? First, I always find this to be a huge challenge in building software is you kind of know where you're going in the end state. But the sequencing is really critical to success or failure and hard to stay disciplined on. So how did that go in the early days of Toku? Did you focus on what did you deliver first and and what was your strategy for deciding those two things?

[00:36:43]

I looked at what everyone else was doing and what everyone else was doing, our competitors worldwide. I looked at every booking system worldwide and what they all did was that they. Hopping part or as much as they could of the set of open table and then gave the product away for free to gather and market share. That is a standard playbook kind of thing to do, which is, hey, we'll make the slightly better iterative mousetrap and then underprice the competition with a new feature, too.

[00:37:12]

But really, we're not trying to break new ground here because we don't want to scare people. That is exactly what was getting funded at the time. And I looked at the products and I was like, this doesn't do anything for me that I couldn't do an open table and yet might be free. But if you give something away from free, the people that you attract are the people who need free. So in a weird way, you get the worst customers.

[00:37:37]

If people are that price sensitive, they're probably not thriving. So we sat down and for the first six weeks of the company, we literally just whiteboard it up everything. What is the target customer in the first six months? The one thing I could prove beyond a shadow of doubt is that for a certain kind of prefect's high end restaurant, this would be a game changing thing. It would make them millions of dollars. They were also tended to be the high profile restaurants and the restaurants that could take risk.

[00:38:08]

So we were like doubled down on the high end thing. It's kind of like the Tesla approach. Let's build the fancy car first and then work our way down market. Everyone else is trying to build the Volkswagen Bug and sell a ton of them by giving away for free. I remember talking to VCs at the time. They're going like, What's your TAM? And I'm like, my TAM is a giant percentage of GDP in the world, but you're only for high end restaurants.

[00:38:33]

I'm like, no, no, no, no. We're starting with that. And we will go down market. I mean, I had very famous VCs telling me that this will never work. You need to have a B2C strategy. These other guys are paying twenty five to fifty dollars per download on advertising and promotion, whereas we're getting thousands at the time, just a couple of thousand but thousands of new clients every time we add a high end restaurant because people are seeking out that restaurant.

[00:38:58]

That goes back to my point that the network of OpenTable wasn't finding the restaurant. It's like if we got the French Laundry in 11 minutes apart in the fat duck and telescreen and all these Michelin three star restaurants, people are going to go to them no matter what the booking system was, because they didn't care what the booking system was. So we'll get our first million users for free and then we'll provide a great hour. Why on the seven hundred dollars a month were charging to these restaurants.

[00:39:22]

And by the way, we'll process millions of dollars. We'll pull that from the systems and will be a payment processing company at the core. That's how we will make our money in the long run. And I'm telling you, nobody believed it in the VC world now. Not nobody believed it because I had some really great pieces that very quickly believed that once we had 50 to 80 to 100 restaurants on Origin Ventures. Jason Peltzer, I served as a judge at the new venture challenge at the University of Chicago Booth School of Business sat next to him a couple of times and that and I was like, oh, this guy gets it.

[00:39:54]

Yes, the tough questions here and all that. He always said to me, like, if you're ever going to take money for talk, let me know. While we never intended to, I recognized about a year into it that this is going to be a long term project. Ten year project is going to take hundreds of people to build it. That doesn't I went out to raise money. I called him up. He came in. They talked for an hour.

[00:40:17]

We had a term sheet at a crazy valuation now or later. And that was because for years he saw how I personally operated and he knew that I was committed to doing it well. But the business model didn't resonate with most people until honestly this year. People now see that creating a network in, say, New York and Los Angeles and San Francisco is not as resilient as creating a network in Kansas City, Minneapolis and those cities as well. You need everywhere and you need all sorts of different restaurants.

[00:40:53]

And you need to figure out how to provide the ahli to all strata of these businesses. As soon as we had all the features that could provide a great ahli for really high end restaurants, we started going hard down market, fast on purpose and building out all of those features and breaking them. And then all of our engineers went and worked in restaurants as hosts. These are people who spent their time staring at a computer screen or suddenly checking people in in a restaurant.

[00:41:22]

So they suddenly had empathy for the end user. And we didn't conduct focus groups. We bring the restaurants into our offices. We did the opposite.

[00:41:29]

We took our people and we put them into the restaurant to incredible insights, the one being that last one, they're putting people in there, but also the value of vending care and time choosing your first customers. It's so interesting how much of a business gets determined by who it picks as its first customers.

[00:41:47]

That doesn't get talked about enough and who you don't pick to their arrest. And restaurant groups that wanted to use us three years ago when I saw what they needed and what they wanted to do, I just think we're not quite ready for you yet. And they were like ready to sign on.

[00:42:04]

And I was like, no, we'll fail if we do this right now because we don't have this particular waitlist feature or a walk ins because there's so many different aspects, like a restaurant actually sells 10 different things at the time.

[00:42:17]

We can only service two of the ten. And meanwhile, they had five other systems that were servicing all 10. And I was like, you know what? When we're ready for you, I will call you and then I want you to take me seriously. And we did that over and over and over again. We didn't even have a sales team at all until three years in which is crazy. We grew the company very, very capital efficiently. And one of the ways we did that is can we onboard more than one hundred restaurants as well?

[00:42:45]

No. OK, well, let's just concentrate on doing 50, then do it perfectly.

[00:42:49]

That discipline is rare. See it over and over again.

[00:42:52]

I think it's a Chicago thing too. Or maybe it's just I always ran profitable businesses. The concept of the phrase burn in a startup is just the worst word in the world because I'm not burning money, I'm investing it. The time horizon and investing money in a startup tech startup especially is a lot longer than people think. For every Instagram out there where you get a ton of users and all of a sudden it's like this ballooning unicorn and their first raises one hundred million dollars and billion dollar valuation and they sell it for a billion dollars that are the vast majority of SaaS based companies have to work capital efficiently early on.

[00:43:29]

And I just any time I saw a negative month, which was going to be for a long time, I was like just viscerally upset intellectually. I knew that in order to grow something that's scalable, you're going to have to have a long time horizon of investment. That said, my restaurants are making money in the second month that they were open. Now they're paying back a giant upfront investment. But I could kind of go like, well, at eighteen months or twenty four months, we'll have all that paid off.

[00:43:59]

And for as long as it runs after that, it's profitable. The trading firm was the same way it was profitable. It was very strange to me that working for a business that wouldn't be profitable for years. And I think because of that, we attracted people who understood and welcomed that mindset. But that also was a mindset that turned off a lot of investors prior to covid.

[00:44:22]

I want to talk about what Todd did during covid, but I feel obligated to do some set up first around just the restaurant business. Generally speaking, you talked about the ten ways it makes money. It makes me think of the old adage, a third, a third, a third of the margin goes to the manufacturer, the wholesaler and the retailer in a lot of businesses. And I would just love to hear you always hear the restaurants make their money on booze.

[00:44:41]

I would love to describe sort of the canonical restaurant business model from the food in the ground through to the retail price at the restaurant. Generally speaking, how does a simple restaurant business work so that we can lay that groundwork before talking about how covid change things?

[00:44:57]

I'm not going to use a simple one. I'm going to use a complicated one and then go backwards. The style Gramercy Tavern is one of, I think, the best restaurants in America. It's a great place. It's iconic. Let's use Gramercy Tavern when you arrive at the front door of Gramercy Tavern. They have no idea what you're going to do. And when I see that, I mean that very literally, they have no idea what you're going to buy.

[00:45:18]

They have a bar area there that's casual, that serves more casual serve. They have a walk up bar that you could be at. So now we have two different things that they're selling your casual restaurant and your bar. Then in the main dining room, you sit down, they have an alternate menu, which is amazing. My client, these great chefs, great place. Then you have a tasting menu. They tell the people sitting down, if you want to do the tasting menu, you all need to do tasting menu.

[00:45:44]

And then we have two kinds of tasting menu. We have the regular omnivore. One, we have vegetarian taste. And if you do the tasting menu, you can add on wine pairings or you can buy the wine list. And then they have private dining to private dining rooms there that are sold for special occasions, corporate events, all that sort of stuff. Plus I have a cookbook, so eat things that they are selling the bar, the casual olive part to prefix menus, private dining and merchandise.

[00:46:13]

When you go to book that, the only thing you say is I'm showing up. That's incredibly, incredibly inefficient. And what they'll say is they'll say, well, yeah, but only four percent of the people by the tasting menu. But that's because you're relying on the server to surprise them with this is an option. And then everyone at the table needs to agree to it at that moment. If one person doesn't agree with it, it gets veto number or Zakhar.

[00:46:36]

If you put that up on a Saturday night when your demand is three times your supply, there's seven hundred people that want to go there, but you only have 250 seats. I'm making that number up. If you say, well, I'm going to put one hundred of these up for sale as tasting menus only you will sell all. And you will know before people come in what they're going to get for those people, not the people, the people who want to do it at the bar, you have a separate button that says, I want the casual aspect.

[00:47:02]

If you imagine all that same thing, applying to a pizza place, your favorite pizza place to go to get pizza on premise. There will be seats in front of the pizza oven that people like to set out to watch the making of the pizza. There will be the really nice corner table that seems like the regulars always get and there will be private events and there will be T-shirts for sale. So I always went, what are the revenue sources?

[00:47:27]

You mentioned the cost side as well. And there is all of that. But restaurants never concentrated on their revenue side other than going like whoever sells the most mithai this month gets a bonus to their servers, which essentially means that you get terrible sales pitch at the beginning.

[00:47:44]

So my whole thing is we gave restaurants tools to actually sell. The other part of that is that if you sell more efficiently, your margins get better and better because the last of the dollars you keep, your fixed costs are known. Rent, utilities, all that sort of stuff. The cost of goods sold look better and better and better when you have less waste. So it's actually good for the environment. It's good for your food costs. It's usually 30 to 35 percent labor.

[00:48:11]

Thirty to thirty five percent food costs 30 percent on your fixed cost insurance and overhead and all that. What are you left with, 10 percent? Well, if you can eliminate some costs, if you can run more efficiently, if you can have high demand on a Tuesday at nine thirty at night, you will make 20 to 30 percent more restaurant. I've had dozens of restaurants I've talked to where they said it's completely impossible to make more than twenty percent.

[00:48:35]

It's just not possible over and over and over again. I see that when they make these small changes, even the casual places on the revenue side, suddenly it unlocks money that they just were like, wow, the denominator is the same in the numerator tactic. It's just not that hard. But no one does it. No one runs it efficiently. And people are scared of change, like, well, what about our customers that want to call on the telephone or what about the people?

[00:48:59]

What about the great customer that doesn't want the tasting menu? And I was like, grateful that for tables, click that button and hold that four tables. I'm not telling you to change the entirety of your business for every person. I'm saying run some of those experiments we talked about at the beginning and see what the outcomes are. And I've been incredibly unimpressed in general with the industry and their willingness to do that.

[00:49:22]

What do you think the generalisable lessons are from these learnings at talk about specifying revenue sources and exposing them to customers more deliberately, reducing uncertainty?

[00:49:34]

If you're just thinking about business, generally speaking, what lessons do you think could be very broadly applied, not just to restaurants, know what you're selling and then actually sell it, which sounds incredibly stupid?

[00:49:45]

I no, I know it's so stupid.

[00:49:47]

I'm telling you what, there should be a business course on that. If I ask Gramercy Tavern what you're selling, they'd say food. And I'd go, no, you're actually selling seven different experiences, plus some merchandise. Meanwhile, you haven't categorized those experiences until after someone comes in. You haven't even formed the consumer, but they exist. Do you want to be surprised when you go to pick up your car that you bought? Would it be really weird if the car had a different color and they tried to sell you on that one?

[00:50:13]

Yeah, you'd walk out of the place. One of the talks I give to all of our new employees to talking to the industry is how Tuesday is not Saturday. And seven other things you already know but are doing nothing about it. It's really obvious you don't need to be an expert in the restaurant business to know every restaurant in the world. Probably you're ninety nine percent with some anomaly are busier on Saturday night than Tuesday night. OK, so we have that.

[00:50:40]

You're not going to get an argument even from a diner. Yeah, more people eat out on Saturday night. What are you gonna do about that? How are you going to get more people in on Tuesday? What lovers are you going to pull to get them in? And for some reason, the whole industry, with the exception of the early bird special in the seventies and the blue plate special and the diners, the high end industry, just like, yeah, no, we're too good for that.

[00:51:01]

We're not going to pull the pricing lever because we might piss off the people on Saturday night, because that was the argument given to me by my own employees. Well, all the people on salary be pissed that they're paying more. Now, do people sitting on the 50 yard line on the tenth row, are they all that they spent five hundred dollars on the football game, said eighty dollars to be in those weeds? No, that's like a normal thing.

[00:51:21]

The other thing is people can't buy what you aren't selling. You have to have the information readily available where people live and people live on the Internet now on their phones. And if you are not selling, they're not just saying, hey, come to my restaurant, eat this delicious thing. But if you're not selling those experiences, if you're not saying, hey, we've got this awesome corner table at our pizza place that everybody wants, and it's a ten dollar deposit per person because we can't have no shows at that.

[00:51:52]

The sunk cost of that 10 dollars per person is mentally done a week before they arrive, they end up spending more once they get there, and they're happier because they need to wait for the table and they got the best table in the place. It's like win, win, win. Having those levers and those tools to actually sell, regardless of what business it is, is massive. Same thing goes for publishing. We publish all of our own books last week, sold one hundred twenty thousand books in a week to a restaurant with margins much better than restaurant.

[00:52:24]

But we actually sell them ourselves. I have mailing list. I have websites. I have Instagram and Facebook. We're running a couple of thousand dollars of ads per day and we own the rights to the book done. Not that hard. That goes back to the original thing on it. The publisher doesn't own our books. We do and sell it. This is not hard stuff. It's amazing to me that so many people in the industry don't. There's a lot of artists in the industry that view commerce as antithetical to their ethical beliefs, as weird as that sounds.

[00:52:59]

And yet so much of that makes the whole artistic expression and creative part of this more possible. By running it successfully like a business, you create more opportunity to do more of the thing they want to do. Yeah, yeah.

[00:53:10]

I mean, at the end of the day, you can't operate if you're losing money. And there are restaurants out there, by the way, that have run for decades, non-profits essentially, and they don't mind. And that's fine. That's totally valid for them. But that's not what I wanted to do. And I think a lot of times people say, well, you guys can do that because you're a linnear. You can charge ahead because you're Alinea or you can sell your own books because you're a Alinea.

[00:53:34]

And I always say, no, no, no, we're Alinea because we do those things. You're getting the order wrong. It's hard to do. It sucks because there's been many times we've done stupid things that haven't worked and then you junk them and you you move on.

[00:53:47]

Any other lessons that you've learned from publishing? You mentioned that earlier is something that you do and you enjoy doing. You mentioned the higher margins. Any other thoughts on publishing, which I think, again, like restaurants, many would knee jerk reaction say is a bad business.

[00:54:00]

If you ask questions of an industry and they won't tell you the answer, that's always a good sign that someone's getting very wealthy in publishing. If you ask an author as any author, how much did it cost to print the book? What are your cogs? They will not know. Ask any literary agent that question and they'll think you're off your rocker. Ask any publisher to give you that information transparently and they will rip up your contract. So call the printers and trying to pick your favorite book.

[00:54:30]

Find out some print brokers here in the US and say what did the printing of those books cost? Send me a spreadsheet. And when they do, and you find out that a fifty dollar retail book cost about two dollars to print and you're going to get 10 percent of cover price, they're requiring that you order five thousand for your own list and they're going to give you a quarter million dollar advance. You realize that there is no way they've taken no risk at all.

[00:54:55]

And I wrote a long medium for those who are interested. If you Google my name and look at my medium, there's why we are self publishing every book. I post it up, the contracts that we were offered, they're all terrible, certain kinds of books. I think you're much better off going with a publisher for like you're going to write an academic book and you have no built in audience. Chances are you're not going to sell a ton of them on your own.

[00:55:17]

But if you have an audience already in whatever business you're doing or a large social media following or any of that, doing a book and publishing yourself is not hard. It takes a lot of effort on Henneberger. And Sarah came from Pixar Industrial Light Magic. We hired them both to do our of our media and books. We gave them equity and the things that they own part of it. Three years later, we have six books out and they produce millions of dollars of revenue every year.

[00:55:43]

Fascinating.

[00:55:44]

What are a few of the other things that people already knew but do nothing about? What are the top two or three that you haven't talked about that come to mind?

[00:55:50]

Food costs money, so that's one of them. But the way that everyone looks at food costs and paying for food is very weird in that every restaurant and it's happening covid started. So it's a good segue to that. Every famous chef that went on TV said this is the kind of business where this week's revenues pay for bills from a month ago. And when we started to bring in money through deposits and prepaid reservations tickets, I suddenly looked and had a bank account that had a couple of million dollars in it of forward money.

[00:56:21]

Like a lot of other businesses, like the computer business, if you buy a computer, then they ship it to you five days later kind of thing. So you have a float. So I started calling up some of our big vendors for like big expensive items, proteins, meat, fish, luxury items like caviar, foie gras, that sort of stuff, and wine and liquor and just said, I don't want one twenty anymore. I want to prepare you for the next three months.

[00:56:45]

And they had never had that phone call from a restaurant before. So basic economic theory would say that. Well, how much should they discount it? Let's say there is going to buy stakes and they were thirty four dollars a pound wholesale for drayage. We're going to pay thirty four dollars a pound wholesale getting that one 20. And I call the guy in some of these four hundred pounds of your beef a week for the next four months for a menu which is about three thousand dollars of beef.

[00:57:09]

What do we got if I keep. And he was like, what do you mean? I'm like, I want to write you a check tomorrow for all of it for four months. And he was like, well, no one's ever said that. So he called me the next day. He said, Eighteen dollars a half. Half price. Wow. That's what I said. I went, I'll pay you 20 if you tell me why. He said, Well, it's very simple.

[00:57:29]

I have to slaughter the cows. Then I put the beef to dry and for the first thirty five days I can sell it after 30.

[00:57:36]

Some days is only a handful of places to sell it for more than thirty five days. At 60 days I sell for a dollar a pound for dog food literally. So his waste on the slaughter and these animals lives and the ethics of all of that are because of that one 20. Seems like someone should have figured this out as soon as he said that everything clicked. And I used to think we need to call every one of our vendors every time and say we will prepare them.

[00:58:03]

Now, I know a huge restaurant groups, huge restaurant groups that look at their float as more valuable to have that money in the bank and to pay their vendors and that 90 NET1 20, whatever. What are you earning an interest these days? One percent a year, something like that. It makes no sense to do that. It makes sense to get ahead of that curve, estimate your next month's sales and prepay for the food. Now, there's risk involved in that, but you've mitigated that risk by much, much better food prices.

[00:58:30]

At the Michelin three star level. We've been able to take our food costs down to a level that honestly, our chefs never thought was possible. We've done that partly through the efficiency of not having no shows. But then the other flipside of it is that we've also worked on creating forewords contracts for all of our big vendors.

[00:58:50]

You have to do at least one more. This list is amazing. What's one more thing? And then we move on.

[00:58:54]

People can't buy what you don't sell stranger danger. You don't know who your customers are. So in the restaurant business, anyone can walk in and you have no idea who they are. It's really obvious that that's the case. You have a casual restaurant. People walk in, who is this person? You have no way of knowing them. Almost any other business. You are going to have some information about that customer so that you can remarket to them.

[00:59:16]

You can take that customer and aggregate them into a pool of customers, upload them into Facebook and Instagram and say create a like customer list within three square miles of my restaurant, all that.

[00:59:26]

So all of these tools exist. They're largely free to use as well. And all you need to do is get your customers email address out their cell phone number, their email addresses, the unique identifier, other businesses, other booking systems don't want you to have that, just like the publisher's saying, yeah, we won't tell you how much it would cost to print or we don't know, which is a weird thing to say. These other booking systems go like, yeah, yeah.

[00:59:53]

People don't like giving their email address. It's much better to have a cell phone. No, it's like no, actually it's not. And that's why Amazon and Netflix and HBO and everyone else uses your email addresses, your unique identifier. I call The Stranger Danger. Your customers cannot be strangers. You need to know who they are and what are you going to do about it? Very simple. When they arrive, you get their email address. It's not that hard.

[01:00:19]

When it happened, it represented obviously an existential crisis and still does for a huge swath of the restaurants in the US. And I think one of the most interesting things that's happened with you and with talk is how you responded and reacted to that. Now that we've laid that groundwork, just love all the lessons you shared with us so far. Talk us through that episode, which is, of course, ongoing. And what you did and what you've learned.

[01:00:44]

The first thing that I did was I realized you said it's an existential danger. You can realize that something is an existential risk or danger at any point along the curve of it being an existential risk. The trickier part is to realizing that something could be an existential risk, has a small chance of happening, but it's non-zero. So right now it's very obvious that to the restaurant industry, to software companies that serve the hospitality industry, that covid is an existential risk.

[01:01:17]

We started talking about that February 28th because at the time there was evidence in Asia and Italy that this was a very, very serious potential pandemic. Then when Seattle started having some cases that senior care facilities, that's the moment that was March 8th where I went. The whole industry is totally screwed if this happens. And it seems like it's going to happen as a trader and a trader in an era where you look at other people and you. Tell whether they're telling the truth and how panicked they look.

[01:01:53]

Every time I saw senior officials on TV saying that this is nothing to worry about, I worried more and more they wouldn't even be talking about it if it was nothing to worry about. I immediately went into, like, kind of a footing of what happens if tomorrow every restaurant America shot. What happens if I have to shut down all my restaurants and can't serve anybody? What happens if they just go to 50 percent occupancy or what happens if my employees begin getting sick?

[01:02:20]

How do we protect ourselves? That was a moment where I don't want to use the word panic. I didn't panic where I got very, very concerned and serious. And when you're the only guy in the room saying the sky is falling or the sky is about to fall, you can look a little unhinged. I tried to explain to everyone if something as a 10 percent chance of happening, but if it happens, it wipes you out. You need to mitigate that risk even if you're wrong and it doesn't happen.

[01:02:51]

Great. But at least we were prepared and I called some other restaurant owners and whatnot. And honestly, people thought I was off my rocker a little bit. My own employees were kind of snickering behind my back because we instituted a five minute call time meeting. Everyone had to come within five minutes. We instituted mandatory temperature checks and handwashing and Mosquera, and we did that two and a half weeks before Chicago was shut down and before there were any guidelines to do so.

[01:03:19]

I could see on the look of some of our managers faces the fact that the guy who sits on his computer all day is telling us to wash our hands every hour. But he has no idea that you can't run a restaurant that way. You can't run a busy restaurant where everyone stops and washes their hands every hour. Log all that video recorded to make sure people are doing it and all that. When I noticed that in the room, normally I would have a nice explanation as to why this is the case and all that.

[01:03:46]

And instead, I just said, anyone who doesn't do it is fired and you won't have a job for two years anywhere because that's how serious this is going to be. If it happens, people went from going, oh, he's unhinged and we're just not going to do it, too. He's unhinged and he's going to fire us all. Which does it mean that they wanted to do it? But it did be that it got the job done.

[01:04:09]

And what happened was within a week, it became evident that unfortunately we were correct. But that also gave us the opportunity, both on the tax side and the group side to pivot very, very quickly. And we talked to Canalis in Seattle and they were like, we're going to shut the restaurant and we're going to start doing to go. And we want to figure out how to do that on talk because we love talk and it's changed our business for the better.

[01:04:34]

And we recognize that there was a way to shoehorn it in. But it wasn't that elegant. But because we're a cloud based system, because we built our data around dynamic and variable pricing four times a lot of businesses. Carryout food is also a time slot of business, we can adapt to this very quickly. And so we gathered about 20 designers and engineers. We got a week to put out a new product. The people again, who went, that's not possible.

[01:04:57]

Simply, we're off the team and everyone else worked 20 hours a day to do it. We got it up and running for Canalis. Three days after Chicago shut down, we started serving thirty five dollars beef Wellingtons out of Alinea, which was newsworthy at the time because why would a Michelin three star serve thirty five dollars food by the following week we were selling a thousand a night, plus wine plus suppliments, plus all those things I talked about where you're actually selling.

[01:05:24]

We're selling books as well every night and we went from furloughing our employees to hiring everybody back in four and a half, five weeks. Everyone who wanted to come back, then the tax side, we were able to massively undercut the third party delivery applications toward attributed to the world. Until then, they were supplemental income to restaurants. So they could say, well, I'm charging 20 to 30 percent because you have no service, Coggs, you have no extra labor.

[01:05:54]

We're doing the labor by delivering at the last mile and restaurant signed up for that. But when it became their only source of revenue, that 30 percent suddenly looked egregious and painful. We charged a flat three percent because we built the whole thing on the back of our events platform that charged three percent. It wasn't like some miraculous thing, frankly. I wish I charged six or seven or 10 percent, but we charged three. In the intervening since March, we've signed up over three thousand restaurants.

[01:06:22]

Our business will be at a billion dollars GMV run rate by the end of the year. An amazing mix of revenue between elevated carry out to go reservations. As places reopen, 70 percent of everything on top is a totally free reservation. It's not a ticket, it's not a deposit. It's that bar seat, the Gramercy Tavern, that's totally free. But the ability to sell that tasting menu and your carry out and all these things together make for a more resilient business model.

[01:06:51]

Even as we reopened in the summer, our patios and Alinea did a pop up on a rooftop and all that, even though we had replaced a lot of our revenue with the patios and whatnot. I insisted that we keep the carryout going because at some point I was like, hey, it's going to be winter in Chicago. There's no year warm enough plastic. You're going to have two sides up. And when twenty below Tundra in January in Chicago and it's snowmageddon again.

[01:07:22]

And then I got to carry food out to that a second to work. It's obviously not going to work. I'm amazed that all these restaurants are putting those up because that is a six week solution to a six month problem. They just closed down dining again in Chicago and we were able to instantaneously wrap up our carry out again. And that's the goal, is to have that sort of resiliency even after covid.

[01:07:43]

Do you think that based on that observation, that there is a big risk factor for those Jordache Dewberry kind of delivery last mile services because of how restaurants will inevitably have to change impacts their economics so much?

[01:07:55]

Yeah, I mean, if you look every single one of the US based delivery applications actually lost more money during covid, even though their revenue tripled as much as they are charging. The last mile delivery to a single location is a model that doesn't make money, which is why there's a lot of consolidation there. I think there are ways to have it make money. And part of the way to do that is to give is what we've done, which is give the consumer a choice between picking it up themselves at the restaurant or paying for the convenience of having it delivered and then splitting that cost with the diner.

[01:08:36]

So if someone picks it up, we charge the restaurant three percent for the order and we charge the consumer dollar for the order. That's it. If someone's delivering it, we utilize these third party delivery, last mile applications and we integrate with them seamlessly. But we've essentially convinced them that we're going to charge the consumer flat five to seven dollars. And if someone's selling a fifty dollar menu and four people order it. So it's a two hundred dollar carryout order, which isn't the case with casual places.

[01:09:07]

Why should the delivery up get fifty dollars to take it a mile? Doesn't make any sense. I think that there are ways of changing their pricing model that doesn't impact the restaurant as much. Still good for consumers and gives consumers a choice, but kind of spreads out the true cost of doing that delivery, which is also equitable to the drivers.

[01:09:28]

I'd love to close our conversation with one of the places that we started. I'll call the idea sort of process as art, your Prakoso example of going to the trouble to expose the process as part of making people aware of it. The whole conversation. Maybe I would sum up as know your customer, know what you're selling and sell it to them. It sounds simple, but. So many implications, what do you think about just businesses in general and how they communicate with their customers and whether or not things like you mentioned Michelin stars a few times?

[01:09:57]

And I think of that as this amazing thing that changes the trajectory of a restaurant, but that ultimately the best thing would be to create that impression directly to the consumer, not through Michelin. Close with any thoughts on this idea of process as our direct to consumer and just the future of business.

[01:10:11]

Yeah, I mean, you have all the tools to know your consumer and interact directly with them for the first 10 years of Alinea, every single day when I woke up, I emailed two people that were either diners or posted on their blog about their dinner or Yelp or whatever it may be, because I figured over the course of a year I would email seven hundred customers and they'd be like, holy cow. That's a very simple thing. It took me about five minutes a day to do.

[01:10:38]

And as social media grew up around it, I just went, oh, that's even more effective way of doing it. I think that knowing your customer, literally, who is it? And then having the ability to interact with them in an authentic way is the key all business? At the end of the day, you buy the person as much as the product. And that's why so many in America, so many executives, both for good and bad, come to be known.

[01:11:07]

If you say Apple, you think of Steve Jobs, don't you think of Tesla, you think of Musk. That's because they're out there actually selling their product and their ideas. But of course, there's the cumulative ideas of thousands of people, but they're the good communicators. And at the end of the day, you're a philosophy major. I was a philosophy major. One of the things I learned in studying philosophy is how to think critically of something that I've learned to read and then how to write about that in a concise and efficient way.

[01:11:36]

So when I write a business plan, I don't understand the business until I can write about it on a single page. I have chefs all the time. Email me with business plans and I say, do me a favor. Write up one page of what it's like as a diner to eat at your restaurant. And then I don't hear from them for two months, if ever, because they don't have a clear vision. They have a clear vision of what food they want to give to someone.

[01:12:01]

They don't have a clear vision of who that person is and what sort of emotionally resonant experience that you're creating with them all the time. We try to communicate directly with our guests, both on the tax side and the only group side. And, you know, I've consulted for other businesses as well in the past couple of years. These are the kinds of like really stupid questions I get paid money to. I'm always amazed when I go in there.

[01:12:29]

And I was like, OK, show me your customer list for the last six weeks. And they can't. That just seems insane to me. And let me tell you, almost no restaurant can do that. But there's also a lot of other businesses that can't do that. So that's incredibly simple to do, but it's really hard to execute. None of this has been fun. Let me also reiterate, covid has been terrible, has been emotionally draining.

[01:12:54]

It's been incredibly difficult on our staff. We've had to hire people back. We've had three furlough people. We've constantly had to change. We were about to do a pop up at a hotel which gave us extra square footage so we can run at fifty percent capacity. We were about to spend thirty or forty thousand dollars creating a really cool multi media experience for diners in there. We were working with sound and lighting companies and all that, and then they shut down again the next day.

[01:13:20]

As soon as it was shut, I was like, OK, all that's done, we're not going to do that this year. And then people are like, why not this year? It might only last two weeks. I said, well, we can't outlay all that money and then open for a week and then closed for Thanksgiving and open for two weeks. It's closed for Christmas break. So it's become easier to make those quick decisions. But I want to reiterate, none of it's fun.

[01:13:41]

It's all been a struggle. It's not like I have the answers. We're willing to try things. And it's been very, very difficult and sad. Frankly, it's never fun to sustain a business and your employees and not have a goal of thriving. We do keep that as the goal, but it's been challenging.

[01:14:00]

I'll remember this awesome conversation for a lot of reasons, but just for the first principles thinking no surprise that your philosophy major at all. I'll turn to my traditional closing question that I ask everybody, which is to ask you what the kindest thing that anyone's ever done for us.

[01:14:13]

I'll make it a little bit generalised. Any time that someone says thank you for something that was done a long time ago is a nice thing. I try to do that for some of the people who are mentors. To me, I think, like a really nice act of kindness is just to sort of recognize somebody when they've done something nice for you or they've helped you out, or sometimes it's tough love. It's not always a good thing. So recently I've had a couple instances in the midst of all this, people have called up and said like, hey, I really appreciate that these were difficult decisions.

[01:14:46]

I really appreciate that I went and started my company without you, Ellen Henneberger, who is running all of our publishing stuff, once stole a napkin from. He is an autodidacts amazing guy. He learned so much different stuff. And one day I got a knife in the mail with a story written to it that said I was so taken by linnear when I was there years ago. I never imagined working with you guys and I've never done anything like this.

[01:15:13]

But I actually took one of the napkins and I wanted to return it to you. Wow. It was embedded in resin in the handle of a knife that he had forged from a kiln that he had built. Wow. So I opened it and I was just like, that is one of the most amazingly cool things anyone's ever done. Now, it's not the fact and it's kind of amazing that he made the knife and all that stuff. What's really cool is that he took the time to do it and sort of said, hey, this is important to me.

[01:15:44]

Those kinds of little kindnesses are the big ones. Well, this is so damn fun. I could have done it for three hours. Sorry, I only had an hour and a half, but it's been an absolute pleasure to meet you and to speak and learn from you. Thank you for the time. Thank you very much.

[01:15:58]

This episode was brought to you by Microsoft for startups. Microsoft for Startups is a global program dedicated to helping enterprise ready B2B startups successfully scale their companies.

[01:16:08]

In this five part mini series, we talk to Greylock Partners Sammo Tamati and Microsoft for Startups Jeff WMA about why companies should partner with Microsoft for startups. In this week's episode, we talk with Jeff Maaz. The Microsoft for Startups lead about his background and the opportunity he saw taking the job at Microsoft. So, Jeff, I think a great place to begin would just be with how you first partnered up with Microsoft.

[01:16:31]

What was so interesting to you about this new position and new initiative that you're leading and how did your prior experience fold into making you the right person to lead this initiative of startups at Microsoft?

[01:16:42]

Well, you're assuming I believe I'm the right person, but I guess it all started for me. I've been an entrepreneur in the Valley for 20 some years. The most recent company that I started was a company called Exer, and it was sort of analytics and developer productivity. And we were trying to create a very much of a bottoms up type of product, meaning individual developers would find it and would want to use it and on and on. And that's everyone's dream, right?

[01:17:06]

The idea that they can create this bottoms up groundswell. But the reality is, as we got about three years into the evolution of the product and of the business, we realized that the problem that we're trying to solve was was much bigger in enterprises and companies with lots of of engineers. And also we realized that the sale wasn't really going to come through the individuals. It was actually going to be very top down. So we realized that it was sort of an enterprise sale.

[01:17:33]

And as I started thinking about what enterprise sales look like, I realized how little I knew about it. They were telling me like 12 to 18 months to get through procurement and the sales cycle would take that long. And they talked about all these different things that I had no idea about. And so I realized that as an entrepreneur that had done quite a bit but never had sold into the enterprise, that there was a huge gap for me and my knowledge in how to sell into the enterprise.

[01:17:59]

So I realized that when I came across the program at Microsoft and how Microsoft could really help startups understand how to sell into the enterprise and become successful doing that, that that was a huge lever and value driver that some of the other cloud platforms didn't have.

[01:18:17]

Just one more question on your background and kind of how it slots into what you're doing now. So you came from the sort of analytics world, but you've also done a lot of different things. So you sort of applied a skill set to different industries, different jobs to be done for the consumer. So you're sort of a generalist. Can you say just a bit about that background and whether or not it's relevant to this new role?

[01:18:36]

Yeah, so, I mean, I think a lot of people were surprised when I took this role because it isn't really analytics focused. And to be honest, like the idea of working at Microsoft was something that I wasn't really that interested in when they approached me. But then as I've gotten more into this, as I've continued to do this job and loved it, I realized that in many ways it's like the job that I've been working towards my whole life with these variety and diverse experiences I know you've had.

[01:19:02]

I think that David, I've seen on the show who wrote Range and the concept of generalist learning versus specialized learning. I realized that my whole life has been this sort of general learning, whether it's being an entrepreneur in the sports world or leading data science and analytics at Twitter or being even on television at ESPN or coaching waterpolo like I did at MIT for seven years. You know, this whole idea of all of the different pieces that I've learned in my life have led me to this place where I fundamentally believe the idea of taking on a task like making startups work with Microsoft at scale and changing the way that startups think about Microsoft, is this sort of amazing.

[01:19:45]

Opportunity that all of these sort of life lessons that I've had have brought me to a unique place to sort of solve this problem.

[01:19:53]

Can you give us just a bit of perspective on sort of the market layout of the major cloud providers and Microsoft's obviously incredibly strong historic relationships with the enterprise? And what so far to you is the felt difference approaching startups about Microsoft's cloud infrastructure versus working with existing large enterprises?

[01:20:13]

Yes, it's a really interesting point, because as someone that's from the startup world, Silicon Valley, like I didn't realize how successful Azure had become or how big a footprint it had, but mostly at enterprises. So what Microsoft has been tremendously good at over the last whatever years is taking a lot of these iconic enterprises from on prem into the cloud, like convincing them they need to go into the cloud. So they've done a great job getting enterprises onto Azure, where some of our competitors have done a better job supporting innovation specifically around startups and digitally native companies.

[01:20:55]

But with that, there's now this tremendous disconnect where you have all these enterprises on one platform, Azure, you have the startups on different clouds that are not azure. And so with that disconnect, you are actually limiting the amount of innovation you can bring to those enterprises, because obviously they want to work with people that are on the same clouds that they're on using the same tooling in the same products and whatnot. So I think that the role that we need to play Microsoft is really very altruistic in that we need to help startups and we need to help the startup ecosystem bring innovation into the enterprises by getting them to build on our platform, specifically on Azure or integrating with things like teams and using dynamics and on and on and on.

[01:21:40]

But it is actually like very altruistic, as I think about it, because I do think that ultimately it will help create more innovation in the enterprise.

[01:21:49]

To find more episodes or sign up for our weekly summary, visit, Investor Field Guide dot com. Thanks for listening to Founders Felgate.