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FiveThirtyEight Politics

Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

How To Make Polls Better

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 740 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 01:12:44

Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them.

Trump Is Setting A Dangerous Precedent For American Democracy

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 750 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 52:56

Three weeks after the election, President Trump is still refusing to concede and making attempts to subvert the results of the election. The team discusses the extent to which these anti-democratic efforts have been successful and what precedent they set going forward. They also consider the politics surrounding the current surge in coronavirus cases and ask what pollsters should do about falling response rates.

What Divided The Electorate In 2020

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 810 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 46:40

The crew explores the demographic and geographic trends that divided the nation in 2020. They also ask how President Trump's refusal to concede the election will affect the nation.

Model Talk: Why Polls Were Off In 2020, And Why They Weren’t That Bad

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 1K views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 46:12

In this installment of "Model Talk," Nate and Galen discuss why a polling error of even four points isn't that unexpected, offer reasons for why the error occurred and discuss the usefulness of polling and modeling going forward.

Where The Rest Of The 2020 Races Stand

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 710 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 45:53

The crew reviews who is leading in the outstanding races and how the two parties are reacting to the results. They also discuss what positive vaccine news could mean for Biden's first term.  

The Election Isn't Over

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 760 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 15:53

The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast reacts to the results so far on election night 2020.

What The Deluge Of Final Polls Can Tell Us

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 830 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 29:53

Many pollsters released their final polls of the 2020 election over the weekend. In this installment of the podcast, the crew analyzes what the recent data tells us about the state of the race in its final days.

How Voting Is Going So Far

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 890 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 42:33

Amelia Thomson-DeVeaux and Nathaniel Rakich join the podcast to discuss how voting laws and procedures have changed ahead of the 2020 vote and how they are being litigated.

Model Talk: Why Democrats' Chances Of Winning The Senate Have Increased

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 780 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 34:27

In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the current election forecasts and answer questions from listeners.

Model Talk: Trump's Position Worsens

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 780 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 37:16

In this installment of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the latests movements in the 2020 election forecasts.

Is The Supreme Court Losing Legitimacy?

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 840 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 49:42

In response to Republicans' move to fill a Supreme Court vacancy so close to the election, some Democrats have floated the idea of expanding or restructuring the court. In this installment of the podcast, law professor Daniel Epps speaks with Galen Druke about whether the legitimacy of the Supreme Court is in jeopardy and what kinds of reforms activists and scholars are considering.

Trump Interrupts To Point Of Chaos In First Debate

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 740 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 37:14

The crew reacts to the first 2020 presidential election debate.

Model Talk: Democrats Are Slightly Favored To Win The Senate

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 700 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 42:20

FiveThirtyEight has launched its 2020 Senate forecast model. In this episode of Model Talk, Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss the odds the chamber will flip.

Model Talk: Trump's Electoral College Advantage

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 710 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 44:11

Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss how the 2020 presidential forecast has changed and answer questions from listeners.

RNC Night 2: Cognitive Dissonance

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 840 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 29:47

The crew reacts to the second night of the 2020 Republican National Convention.

Michelle Obama Rips Trump In DNC Night One

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 840 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 41:33

The crew reacts to the first night of the 2020 Democratic National Convention.

Model Talk: The 2020 Forecast Is Live!

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 900 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 30:43

FiveThirtyEight's 2020 presidential election forecast is live! In this edition of "Model Talk," Nate Silver and Galen Druke break down what is new in this year's forecast and where the uncertainty lies.

It's Not Just The Economy, Stupid

FiveThirtyEight Politics

  • 780 views
  • over 3 years ago
  • 48:19

After the release of historically bad GDP data, the crew discusses how well economic data can predict the outcome of an election. They also discuss the potential consequences of President Trump casting doubt on the legitimacy of the 2020 election.